Hello Victoria, thanks for taking the time to respond.
You said:
"I think we might have to revisit some of these projections in the very near future. Current trends (e.g., schisms, closures, evangelizing then victimizing) suggest otherwise."
You've highlighted a lot of the key reasons why some people are leaving churches in the West.
These are certainly terrible issues, and need to be addressed. They are hurting a lot of people. If you are one of these who have been hurt, I apologize.
Yet the number of people joining the church is far eclipsing those who are leaving.
Further, many who leave end up returning.
Globally, Christianity is growing at a rapid pace.